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Applied Statistician (Tropical Cyclone Modeling)

Boston, Massachusetts, US
Closing date
Sep 21, 2021

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Job Description


Come join the Stochastic Modeling Team in AIRs Boston-based Research Department, and contribute to building the next generation of probabilistic catastrophe models for assessing the risk of hurricanes and tropical cyclones. Our team projects offer opportunities for creative problem-solving on a boundless set of interesting statistical problems at the interface of extreme weather, climate change, and risk. Catastrophe models depend fundamentally on hierarchical modeling of space-time physical processes, inference from heterogeneous and incomplete calibration data, and use of ensemble techniques to quantify uncertainties. We learn continuously through interdisciplinary collaborations with a diverse team of meteorologists, applied mathematicians, climate scientists, engineers, and hydrologists. As such, this is a fantastic position for a curious statistician with a passion for modeling atmospheric processes! In addition to possessing sharp technical skills, we also hope you will bring a practical, applied mindset to the role. Our teams work contributes toward building tools that enable the (re)insurance sector to make sound decisions to enhance social resilience to natural catastrophes. For the right person, we have leeway to flex this hire toward recent graduates of advanced degree programs in statistics, or to seasoned statisticians with further research or industry experience.


* Work with domain-area experts in meteorology, hydrology, and engineering to understand relevant data sets and translate model calibration and validation needs into statistical analysis and models

* Contribute collaboratively to model formulation, improvement, and implementation for building the next generation tropical cyclone model based on latest science

* Analyze and validate AIRs simulated hurricane track sets against observational data to ensure statistical robustness. In select cases, perform validation exercises to demonstrate compliance with rigorous regulatory statistical standards. As part of a team, defend the statistical analysis on behalf of AIR to external statisticians.

* Contribute to identification, inference, and modeling of significant nonstationarities in tropical cyclone data, including those that may be due to climate change

* Help formulate answers to client questions related to the statistical aspects of AIRs tropical cyclone models
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